The second international tournament out of 3 this summer will begin in France, which is EURO 2016. This tournament generally is considered one of the best tournaments around the world, on par with the World Cup in the eyes of many, as it has most of the top teams in the world.
Germany come into this tournament as the defending World Champions and would be expected to put in a performance as clinical as their World Cup win 2 years ago. The team have been lacklustre offensively so far, struggling against 2 tough defensive units in Northern Ireland and Poland while smashing lowly teams like Slovakia and Ukraine. Their form in front of goal has slowly emerged since Mario Gomez has been pushed right back up front of the 4-3-2-1 formation with Gotze out; which is giving him a lot of chances due to crosses put into the box. With the width play adopted by Germany, its no surprise to see them smash in a lot of corners on their end, with their last few games going as following: 8, 6, 8, 6, 4, 10, 5. The defensive unit of Germany is does not have any natural full backs with Hector alternating his club time between left back and defensive midfield, and Howedes a natural centre half; so their objective is clear the ball at any cost, which also leads to corners for opponents.
Italians have been the most impressive team of the tournament, and it will be interesting to see if they continue their momentum and form coming into this game especially with De Rossi a major doubt due to injury while Thiago Motta is suspended. Italy will look to Sturaro to fill in their shoes along with Giaccherini and Parolo in the centre of the midfield. This gives a little less defensive cover for the strong back 4. Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini and Buffon have been extremely solid this tournament, not conceding a goal when all of them have been at the back, and that defensive masterclass is what has helpd the Italians progress to here. Clear the ball out of the box at any cost and concentrate on that clean sheet. Don’t forget Buffon went 11 games without conceding a goal at one point this season in the Serie A; and can do so again. The width of Italy has also proven to provide good attacking instincts with Florenzi and Di Sciglio to give a lot of crosses in the box, and the Germans will be keen to keep that balls out of the box. Italy have been smashing in the corners in their lsat few games like Germany, reading as per following: 5, 4, 7, 6, 12, 4, 7, 9.
This game looks to be a tight encounter with a good chance of a stalemate happening here, and I think corners seem to be the way to go to secure any profit out of this game.
If you make money from my picks and want to thank me, please click below: