The NBA season is back tonight, and we go straight in early on this time with a pick in order to try and take advantage of some poor lines early on.
DAL Mavericks v NO Pelicans -A Davis Over 26 points @ 1.85 (888Sport) – 2.5 points
Anthony Davis will be looking to have feast of a night against the Dallas Mavericks team who do not have the most talented players in the middle to keep him quiet. The Mavericks will have Davis matched up against Pachulia, who is a serviceable center at best, and the back up options are Powell, Villanueva and Evans at best unless Dirk Nowitzki is placed up against him.
Davis will be looking forward to getting back to his usual self, not going for those outside jumpers as much, but dominating the inside game, that has seen him improve to 26.6 points per game in his last 5 games. He already scored 25 points against the Mavericks 4 nights ago after coming off a 43 points performance on back to back nights; so with plenty of rest, you can expect him to take it to the rack against the Mavericks in this one.
Davis’ points total depends a lot on him getting to the free throw line, where he is a career 78% shooter. His ability to get to the line 10 times per game this season, compared to his career average of 6, will certainly help to move his career scoring average up from 20 towards 22 points if he continues this trend.
Dallas already showed they have been giving up an average of 45 points per game over the last 3 games, and I expect Davis to take advantage of this tonight to try and help his team break this run of 6 straight losses.
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