With the Euro2016 qualifying campaign now heading into the final stages; all the teams are looking to push for victory in order to secure their spot for next years 1st round proper in France. We look to grab some value form some good tips and make some money.
Poland and Scotland clash in the critical encounter that will determine the fate of both these teams for their qualification for Euro 2016. While mathematically, there is a chance that Scotland and still qualify, realistically they don’t have no much chance to go through.
Poland will feel buoyed from their results in this group, and are sitting in 2nd spot with just 2 points behind Germany and will know that a victory tonight will almost guarantee them a spot in the finals for next year. Poland have been a good team this campaign scoring 29 goals and performances have been good as was seen when they opened up their campaign with a 2-0 win over Germany last year. Since then they have struggled to put up good results against their fellow rivals in the campaign with them drawing 1-1 with Republic of Ireland and drawing 2-2 with Scotland.
From the 29 goals netted by Poland a lot of credit must go to hit-man Robert Lewandowski who has netted 10 out of those in this campaign so far. While only one of those goals came against a big side, i.e, Germany; he will be looking to add to his tally in these last 2 games against Scotland & Ireland. The goal sparked some great form for the Polish hit-man, and has shown to be oozing class with 15 goals in all competitions since then. He even netted 7 goal against Dortmund and Wolfsburg alone who are among the top teams in Germany to showcase that if he gets the service, he is not to be messed around with.
Scotland’s biggest problem has been their defence. They had conceded 10 goals in the 8 games so far, that has seen them slip up from winning positions to lose or draw games. Last month they had a qualifying week to forget when they got upset 1-0 by Georgia and then shipped 3 goals in a narrow 2-3 loss to Germany. The fact that the Scottish even conceded against Gibraltar, does not bode confidence that they will continue to keep clean sheets heading into this critical game against Poland. Their defence is made up of players who are not playing for the top teams in Europe with Hanley, Martin, Mulgrew and Hutton as the back 4 with Marshall in goal. All of them have had a poor club form coming behind them as their teams have been shipping a lot of goals, and I expect them to continue to struggle again.
Lewandowski’s form is absolutely impossible to ignore, and with odds of 2.50 for him to score, it surely represents tremendous value in this Euro 2016 qualifying match.
Nothern Ireland are at the top of their group in Euro 2016 qualifiers. Let me give you guys a second to comprehend that. Add to that most of their team are built up of Norwich and West Brom players, and they are on their way qualifying to Euro 2016 makes it even more shocking.
Northern Ireland are leading their group in the Euro 2016 qualifiers, in a group including Romania, Hungary, Finland and Euro 2004 champions Greece. For them to sit on the top of the group, it surely showcases the great form and the great stability that the team has built under Manager Micheal O’Neill. They have only lost 1 game in their qualifying campaign which was a 2-0 loss away from home against Romania, but have delivered 5 wins and 2 draws in the remaining games that has helped them to the top of the table.
Tonight they take on Greece at home, looking for the 3 points that will seal their qualification to Euro 2016 in France next year. The Northern Irish will be be quite confident ahead of this game especially owing to the great performance they put in away from home against Greece winning 2-0 last October. The hero for them has been Kyle Lafferty who has netted 7 out of the 12 goals that they have scored. However, he has only played 13 minutes of football since signing for Norwich City, and his form will be worrisome for the team as they are banking on him to find the back of the net against a struggling Greek side in order to try and win this game. The Northern Irish have a chance to qualifying for a tournament after the 1986 World Cup, and will be looking at a strong home crowd in Belfast to provide the energy and spirit to take them over the finish line. Northern Ireland have seen their last few games been close, drawing 2 out of the last 3 games in qualifying, so that winning mentality might be missing a bit tonight.
Greece have struggled for the campaign, and will want to get these 2 fixtures out of the way by experimenting with some players ahead of the World Cup qualifying that will start a year from now. They have only managed 3 points from their 8 games so far, and all 3 of them have been draw with 2 stalemates and 1-1 draw. Goal scoring has been their achilles heel where they have only netted twice in the entire campaign. In fact only San Marino has scored less than them while Andorra, Moldova and Malta have scored more goals than them, and you know your in bad company when that happens. I don’t see how the Greeks can score also against a decent Northern Irish defence boasting the likes of McAuley, Evans and Brunt who are now all playing for the same club in West Brom and developed a good understanding, and have McLaughlin to join them.
This game will be extremely tight as the Greeks generally don’t concede a lot, while the Northern Irish will be looking to get back to major tournament football after 30 years and will be motivated for the victory. I back Northern Irish on the Asian lines as a half win, half draw; as this will minimise our loss to only half the stake if Northern Ireland manage to draw the game, which is the least I expect out of this encounter.
Ireland v Germany – Over 16.5 corners @ 1.83 (Bet365) – 2.5 points (#INPLAYMAGIC)