SUPER SUNDAY football is back in January, and with some interesting fixtures around, looking to grab the full value available out there.
England Premier League
West Ham to beat Hull City @ 1.80 (BetVictor) – 2.5 points
West Ham come into this game with such high odds despite being in decent form purely due to the fact they played 120 minutes + penalties against Everton mid-week in the FA Cup replay. The Hammers drew 2-2 with Hull City when they were in good scoring form. The fact that West Ham have lost only 1 game at home with a 2-1 loss to Arsenal, but since then you have to look to August for the last time the Hammers lost at home.
With a strong attacking force of Valencia, Caroll and Nolan in support; that front 3 can definitely cause problems for Steve Bruce’s men. They also have Downing who has definitely been West Ham’s player of the season so far, and his creativity in the free role behind the forwards has helped him create opportunities as he sees fit. Alex Song will also hold this team solidly in the middle of the park, to keep things tight and break up play as the opportunities arise.
Hull City will struggle to make an impact especially when they are missing their front 2 strikers in Nikica Jelavic and Abel Hernandez. They have scored only 2 out of their last 8 games, and it will be a bigger struggle tonight with their forwards missing. Away from home, Hull have only won away twice against a poor Sunderland on Boxing Day and QPR on the opening day.
The Hammers look strong, will look to create a statement in front of their home fans, and this price is full value for them to be backed.
Man City v Arsenal – Over 11 Asian Corners @ 1.85 (Bet365) – 3 points
Man City v Arsenal – Over 5 1H Asian Corners @ 1.75 (Bet365) – 2 points (#INPLAYMAGIC)
Man City and Arsenal are 2 teams whose defenses are struggling, conceding in a lot of games, and while that can be expected to happen today; I have found a pick which makes more value sense today.
When we look at the Man City attack, they should have Aguero, Bony up front along with Navas, Nasri and Silva to back up. With that attack, the team look to run a lot and cross a lot of balls to give their strikers plenty of chances with headers. Particularly with Navas running the right wing, if he is unable to cross a ball, he is managing to generate those corners to give his team a better chance from set pieces. With Arsenal having a lot of absences in their back line and a changed goal keeper, the defenders will do all they can not to let the ball come into the box and clear it at the earliest; which also generates corners. Man City have one of the highest league averages of corners by a team with 7+ per game, and I expect that trend to continue.
Arsenal have an attack that is based on their wingers, with Sanchez, Chamberlain and Cazorla; they have 3 players who love to run the by-line and get those crosses into the box. They are also 3 excellent shot makers from distance, which often leads to keepers parrying the ball away to those corners. The defense of Man City has conceded a goal in almost every game, and that shows a lack of confidence in their defenders. I expect a lot of balls to be pushed behind either by Hart or the other defenders. Arsenal average around 8 corners per game themselves, and that trend is expected purely based on the style of the football that they play.
Over 11 Asian corners is my pick for tonight.
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