Tonight is a night where I look at some poor lines on the player performances based on matchups that look likely some of these big guys should land up scoring a ton of points.
BKN Nets v IND Pacers – Plumlee Over 11.5 points @ 1.85 (MarathonBet) – 2.5 points
If you ask me, this pick should be free money. Plumlee has been on-song recently after his promotion to the starting lineup over the past month. He is currently playing over 35 minutes per game as the starting center with Brook Lopez coming off the bench, and that can be seen now with a 3 game winning streak that the Nets are on.
Plumlee in his last 5 games is averaging over 13 points per game in December since he has moved to the starting and getting more minutes as compared around 9 points from 22 minutes that he was getting off the bench. However, even better in the last 10 games, he has increased his scoring 16 points per game along with 10 rebounds, and against I expect him to continue that performance even though they take on a strong Indiana Pacers defensive unit.
Plumlee is knocking down around 7/8 shots per game from 10/11 attempts; and that alone is enough to knock this score off. I expect Plumlee to knock at least 15 points; and this line of 11.5 should be beaten.
MIA Heat v MEM Grizzlies – Gasol Over 19.5 points @ 1.90 (MarathonBet) – 2.5 points
Memphis Grizzlies have been struggling especially since the absence of Zach Randolph and that has resulted in their poor performances where they lost 4 games straight, which was equal to the number of games that they lost before that with him in the lineup.
But Since Randolph has gone down, Gasol has been leading the scoring especially against teams who have poor defensive centers like the Jazz, Cleveland & San Antonio averaging around 24 points per game in those 3 games. Last night he went off for 29 points against Houston, and will be optimistic of his chances for another big night as Chris Bosh looks set to continue and the Miami Heat have to play with Williams, Andersen, Whiteside and Haslem; who he should easily look to dominate.
He is definitely a contender for the MVP of the season this early on, and the way he has picked up his scoring in Randolph’s absence only shows us more on why he is someone to rely on. He is firing around 18 shots per night knocking down 9 or 10 while hitting averagely 4 free throws per game. With the poorer Heat front court; I expect him to hit more than 4 free throws tonight; and he should net something around 25 points tonight if the Grizzlies have to beat the Heat.
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