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The NBA season rolls on and we go straight in early on this time with a pick in order to try and take advantage of some poor lines early on.

NBA Basketball
MIL Bucks v MIA Heat – Under 198.5 points @ 1.67 (MarathonBet) – 2 points

The Miami Heat take on the Milwaukee Bucks in the battle of 2 defensive teams as well as 2 teams have have split under and over in the market 50-50 so far.

The Miami Heat come into this game after 2 disappointing losses to Atlanta and Washington, who themselves are high scoring teams, and for Miami to keep up; they needed to be equally aggressive. Things will be expected to be much more difficult when they travel defensive minded Bucks. Jason Kidd has taught his team well, and they are under 100 points per game so far this campaign and going under the line tonight would have landed in 6 out of their 9 games so far.

On the scoring front the Bucks haven’t done too well, with their average scoring under 98 points per game so far this campaign. The Miami Heat’s Spolestra prides himself on the defense that he has preached that saw the Heat reach each of the last 4 NBA finals in a row.

The Miami Heat will probably be missing Deng with major doubt to Cole and Granger while Anderson is out till the end of the month; which will reduce some scoring options for the Heat. The Bucks are missing their 3 point shooter in Ilyasova, which could hamper their scoring off the bench.

The matchup between the 2 sides has seen the total be under the line in 9 out of the last 10 matchups between the 2 sides; and I expect another one to bite the dust.



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