The NBA season rolls on and we go straight in early on this time with a pick in order to try and take advantage of some poor lines early on.
NO Pelicans to beat DEN Nuggets @ 1.76 (MarathonBet) – 2 points
The New Orleans Pelicans head into the game against the Denver Nuggets on the back of some good performances in their last 5 games. While they have beaten Sacramento, Minnesota and LA Lakers, they collapsed late against Cleveland and Portland to lose those 2 games away. However, they should be extremely inspired by the performances put on by the entire supporting cast against the Kings where they came back from 9 points down in the 1st half to win by 6 eventually.
Anthony Davis has been the consistent threat averaging 25 points and 11 boards but in the last few games some good contributions from Tyreke Evans, Ryan Anderson, Jru Holiday have helped. Eric Gordon who was touted a good player when he was drafted 7th Overall by the Clippers, was pretty inconsistent for most of the season so far has improved his scoring average to 13 for the past few games, v his early season form of 7 and his career average of 17. His performances will go a long way to see how far the Pelicans progress in the season and in the playoffs.
The Denver Nuggets have finally shrugged off a lot of injuries to their team and have most of their players fit, but Brian Shaw is extremely confused how to fit soo many talented players within the limited minutes that are available. After struggling early on, they manage to get 3 wins in their last 4 games, mainly due to performances from Afflalo and Lawson. Infact Lawson is due for a burn out at some point this season, already in the top 10 in minutes per game with 36.
It’s due to fact of not putting out proper rotations along with an extremely poor defensive giving up 106.5 points per game, the 4th worst in the NBA that has been contributing to this. In fact they are in the bottom 10 worst in field goal%, 3pt field goal% as well as turnovers. The Pelicans are an extremely good in defense, ranking in the top half of most statistical category and especially in the opponent 3 point field goal % which the Nuggets tend to rely on a lot jacking up 22 3-pointers per game, the Pelicans are holding their opponents to under 35% where they are 7th.
I truly believe the Pelicans should hold on and nab victory in this game, it’s a surprise that the line is soo short against a poor Denver team.
MIN Timberwolves (Under 96.5 pts) v San Antonio Spurs @ 1.83 (888Sport) – 3 points
Despite the Minnesota Timberwolves being at home, the injuries that they face will definitely hurt them. With Thaddeus Young (personal Reasons) and Nikola Pekovic, Turiaf out with injuries, its added the burden on 3 players young Bennett, Dieng and Mohammad; with 2 of them to be on the floor at anytime. Ricky Rubio’s injury means that young Zach LaVine has started at the point, but that is something that hasn’t proven to be effective till now. Kevin Martin shouldered the scoring load against the Knicks with 37, but he is out of this game with a fracture in his rest.
The Spurs, who have held four of their last six opponents to 90 points or fewer including the Cleveland Cavaliers. They are ,in scoring defense (91.6) and opponents’ 3-point shooting (27.5) percent; and with the Wolves missing several key players, you expect that this bet has a very good chance of landing. Spurs have beaten good teams like Phoenix, LA Clippers and the Cavaliers under 95 points; and will look to a repeat performance against the struggling Timberwolves team who have won just 3 games this campaign.
Spurs to keep the wolves under 96.5 points is the pick for me.